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Home » Behavioral Finance » Am I Suppose to Tell You This?
equity-investing

Am I Suppose to Tell You This?

by Madhupam Krishna

behavioral mistakes in investing, behavioural finance, equity for long term, equity investing, volatility

“Captivity never makes a Lion anything less”… The videos & images spread by irresponsible hands but his firm answer “Am I Suppose to Tell You This?” speaks very high about the person, his professionalism & his training. He was ready… like a soldier is … always. Here are a few of my thoughts that we can use in our line of work – Equity Investing.

equity-investingWealthWisher salutes Wing Commander Abhinandan, IAF, his family & our leadership. I have always said – let’s not be taken or impressed by a Person… Let’s learn and get impressed by events, examples. The person may change but history remains permanent.

 

We faced or are facing a situation when mind – RAISES QUESTIONS. It can be satisfied with ANSWERS only.

As an advisor, I am also bombed (no comparison to what our forces did with terrorists) with questions on email, WhatsApp & phone? These are:

  1. Should I stop my SIP?
  2. Should we move to Debt?
  3. Should we stop investing for a few months?
  4. You said election should not be a reason to stop investing, what about WAR?
  5. What should by my (your) strategy, if geopolitical tensions escalate. We’ve already answered this question in a previous post.

equity-investing

My Response “Am I suppose to tell you that… Investor?”

It is also true that the Indian markets have not seen a full-fledged war (Kargil categorized as a conflict). So yes many of us don’t know what will happen.

Wars are known to drink up economic growth… this is sure – looking at the wars and impact on other countries. But again can we forecast them?

You will love to read this too  What NOT TO DO during Demonetization Phase

Equity Investing

Equity investing itself demands preparedness like a war.

Can you or ARE YOU INVESTING without:

  1. Knowing your Goals? Horizon, time in hand to achieve the goal, amount required to achieve the goal and what returns the goal (s) will be achieved?
  2. Knowing your Risk Appetite?
  3. You do not follow asset allocation?
  4. Do you invest in fancy products aiming high returns?
  5. Invest in low diversified and illiquid portfolio?
  6. You have little or no knowledge of Asset properties (Volatility or Credit Risk)?

I am sure you have all this in your hand or your advisor is managing these for you.

So, don’t look for trouble when there ain’t one.

Every event or every news is not to be seen with the lens of your INVESTMENT PLAN. The world is not going to suit as per your Investment Needs.

Don’t lose focus

Do you know, yesterday the quarterly data suggested that Indian GDP slipped down to 6.6% from the last quarter of 7.1%? Many missed this simple – because we are too focused on frenzy.

equity-investing

Tough Times Demands Tough Action

What should you do when times are tough?

Display – Your ideal behavior.

In equity investing –

“More wealth has been lost by hasty actions rather than in-actions”.

But In-Actions are uncomfortable. It is hard to develop a thick skin and a peaceful mind.

So, let the time pass. Yes, equity markets will get bruised – hit, but they have one job – Showcase Corporate Growth.

And, they have been honest for the last 34 years, despite many events which hit sentiments & economy.

You will love to read this too  Common Behavioural Mistakes During Market Highs

Here is a picture that shows that no one has lost investing in equity if you have invested for 10 Years Plus and very rarely in between 5 to 10 years.

equity-investing

To Sum Up

  • Markets are volatile in the short term.
  • As the investment horizon increases, the probability of loss goes down. E.g. the table shows that, in the last 39
    years of SENSEX, the likelihood of losing money for periods of 15 years or more has been nil.
  • In the long run, markets have given CAGR of 17.1%; representing India’s nominal GDP growth (Real growth +
    inflation).
  • SENSEX has compounded wealth at 17.1% over the long run. At this rate, an investment in the stock market
    has historically doubled every 4.5 years (which is equal to 330x).

Am I Suppose to Tell You That? 

Off Course I Am.. And I will… Yours WealthWisher.

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WealthWisher Financial Advisors (Also referred as The wealthwisher.com or TW2) is an Advice platform, where we help an individual, managing personal finance in easy and smart manner & taking informed decision . The person managing WealthWisher Financial Advisors Mr. Madhupam Krishna is a SEBI registered Advisor. Post advise, one can execute transactions with your banker, stock broker or agent/ financial intermediary. We also offer transaction services through various associations, at a substantially lesser cost to our clients, as compared to other financial intermediaries, so that you start your financial plan with savings. WealthWisher Financial Advisors may earn commission or distributor incentives for providing transaction services or referring customers with third party service providers as per customer’s agreement. Our recommendations rely on historical data. Historical/ past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. The information and views presented here are prepared by WealthWisher Financial Advisors. The information contained herein is based on our analysis and upon sources that we consider reliable. We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. This material is for personal information and we are not responsible for any loss incurred based upon it. This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient. The products discussed or recommended here may not be suitable for all investors. Investors must make their own informed decisions based on their specific objectives and financial position and using such independent advice, as they believe necessary. While acting upon any information or analysis mentioned here, customers may please note that neither WealthWisher Financial Advisors nor any person connected with any third party companies or service providers of WealthWisher Financial Advisors, accepts any liability arising from the use of this information and views mentioned here. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an action. Stocks in the equity portfolios are filtered at various levels. Initially, the stocks are filtered on the basis of the size of the company and the sector of the company. The company's fundamental parameters are tested using various parameters related to inventory days, employee cost, power cost, taxation etc. Finally, the volatility in the price performance as well as the future growth prospect is viewed and accordingly the stocks are classified in various portfolios. While building Mutual funds portfolio, factors like size of the funds, the historical performances (return) of the schemes, expenses ratio ,the sector in which the scheme invests and volatility are considered.
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